The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to win 305 (+/- 10) seats in the ongoing 2024 Lok Sabha elections, according to American political scientist and global political risk consultant Ian Bremmer. In an exclusive interview with NDTV Profit on Tuesday, Bremmer, the founder of the Eurasia Group, a risk and research consulting firm, shared his projections for the Indian general elections.
Bremmer highlighted that from a global political perspective, the Indian general election is "the only thing that looks stable and consistent?everything else (including the United States election due in November) is problematic."
"We have an enormous amount of macro-level geopolitical uncertainty, and the future of globalization is not going the way companies want it to. Politics is inserting itself into the global marketplace? wars, US-China relations, and the US election are all a big part of that," he said.
"All of these are not being managed well, and these pressures are more negative. In fact, the only thing that looks stable and consistent, politically, is the India election. Everything else looks problematic."
When asked about his prediction for the Indian election, which is being held across seven phases starting from April 19, Bremmer said Eurasia Group's research suggests the BJP will win between 295 and 315 seats.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party, seeking a third consecutive term, won the 2014 election with 282 seats (336 including its NDA partners) and the 2019 elections with 303 seats (353 with NDA allies).
The ongoing 2024 Lok Sabha elections are being held in seven phases, with the first five phases having taken place on April 19, April 26, May 7, May 13, and May 20. The remaining two phases are scheduled for May 25 and June 1, with the counting of votes and the declaration of results set for June 4.
