As the date of June 4 approaches, the political corridors are buzzing with anticipation. Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secure a hat-trick of victories in the Lok Sabha elections? Or will the opposition parties of the INDIA alliance halt Modi’s victory chariot? Political pundits are making their predictions, and the nation waits with bated breath. Here’s what the experts have to say about the upcoming results:
Prashant Kishor’s Predictions
Prashant Kishor, founder of Jan Suraaj and renowned election strategist, believes the BJP will perform even better than in 2019:
- BJP will secure 15 to 20 seats more than the 303 seats it won in 2019.
- BJP is not likely to reach 370 seats but will certainly stay above 270.
Yogendra Yadav’s Forecast
Political activist Yogendra Yadav, associated with Swaraj Abhiyan and Bharat Jodo Abhiyan, has a contrasting view:
- BJP will not reach the 272-seat mark.
- BJP is expected to win between 240 to 260 seats.
- Yadav claims that even if BJP wins 299 seats, it will be seen as a moral defeat.
Naresh Arora’s Analysis
Naresh Arora, a political analyst linked to Bharat Jodo Abhiyan, provides a nuanced prediction:
- BJP might gain some seats compared to the 2019 elections.
- BJP will face losses in some states but will benefit in others.
- Gains are expected in Odisha, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, and Chhattisgarh, while losses might occur in Karnataka, Rajasthan, and Punjab.
Professor Sanjay Kumar’s Insight
Professor Sanjay Kumar from the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) in Delhi offers a balanced view:
- There is no overarching wave for PM Narendra Modi and BJP.
- BJP will see support in various states but will face opposition in others.
- Congress may see some benefits in this election.
Tanvi Puruthi’s Forecast
Political analyst Tanvi Puruthi is confident in a BJP majority:
- BJP and its allies are expected to win over 300 seats.
- Specific state predictions include:
- 2 seats in Tamil Nadu
- 64 seats in Uttar Pradesh
- 26-28 seats in Madhya Pradesh
- 24 seats in Rajasthan
- All 26 seats in Gujarat
- All 7 seats in Delhi
- 17 out of 40 seats in Bihar
- 19 to 20 seats in West Bengal
- 22 seats in Maharashtra